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FinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries Divisions of Research&Statistics and Monetary Affairs Federal Reserve Board,Washington,D.C.
StaffworkingpapersintheFinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries(FEDS)arepreliminary
materialscirculatedtostimulatediscussionandcriticalcomment.Theanalysisandconclusionssetforth
are thoseoftheauthorsanddonotindicateconcurrencebyothermembersoftheresearchstafforthe
Board ofGovernors.ReferencesinpublicationstotheFinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries(otherthan
acknowledgement)shouldbeclearedwiththeauthor(s)toprotectthetentativecharacterofthesepapers